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- The stock market finished the first week of May with modest losses that m= asked a turbulent performance that saw the Dow Jones Average post both its = best and worst days since 2020. The three major indexes started the week wi= th three straight positive sessions, then plunged in a sharp selloff after = investors decided the Federal Reserve's implied policy tightening cycle ahe= ad was still very hawkish, even as Chairman Jerome Powell took 75-basis poi= nt rate hikes off the table. Investors remain nervous about the Fed's abili= ty to tighten financial conditions to combat inflation at 40-year highs wit= hout knocking the economy into a recession. The Dow Jones Average lost only= 0.2% for the week but it was still the sixth straight declining week for t= he index, while the S&P 500 also fell 0.2% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Co= mposite slumped 1.5%, closing nearly 25% below its record high from last No= vember
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Top News
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The stock market finished the first week of May with modest losses that mas= ked a turbulent performance that saw the Dow Jones Average post both its be= st and worst days since 2020. The three major indexes started the week with= three straight positive sessions, then plunged in a sharp selloff after in= vestors decided the Federal Reserve's implied policy tightening cycle ahead= was still very hawkish, even as Chairman Jerome Powell took 75-basis point= rate hikes off the table. Investors remain nervous about the Fed's ability= to tighten financial conditions to combat inflation at 40-year highs witho= ut knocking the economy into a recession. The Dow Jones Average lost only 0= .2% for the week but it was still the sixth straight declining week for the= index, while the S&P 500 also fell 0.2% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Comp= osite slumped 1.5%, closing nearly 25% below its record high from last Nove= mber
     
Financials
No to crypto
Just a month after Peter Thiel called Warren Buffett the "en= emy No. 1" of Bitcoin (BTC-USD= ), describing him as a "sociopathic grandpa from Omaha," Buffett doubled do= wn on his outlook of the popular crypto at Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A, BRK.B) annual shareholder meeting. "Nobody wa= nts their windpipe stepped on and I don't blame them. I don't like people t= o step on my windpipe, but I will say this," declared Buffett, who has prev= iously referred to Bitcoin as "probably rat poison squared."

Quote: "If you said... for a 1% interest in all the farmland in the U= nited States, pay our group $25B, I'll write you a check this afternoon. Fo= r $25B, I now own 1% of the farmland. If you tell me you own 1% of all the = apartment houses in the United States and you want another $25B, I'll write= you a check, it's very simple. Now if you told me you own all of the Bitco= in in the world and you offered it to me for $25 I wouldn't take it because= what would I do with it? I'd have to sell it back to you one way or anothe= r. It isn't going to do anything. The apartments are going to produce renta= l and the farms are going to produce food. That explains the difference bet= ween productive assets and something that depends on the next guy paying yo= u more than the last guy got."

"Assets, to have value, have to d= eliver something to somebody. And there's only one currency that's accepted= . You can come up with all kinds of things - we can put up Berkshire coins.= .. but in the end, this is money," he announced, holding up a dollar bill. = "Anyone that thinks the United States government is going to change the way= they let Berkshire money replace theirs is out of their minds. Whether it = goes up or down in the next year, or five or 10 years, I don't know. But th= e one thing I'm pretty sure of is that it doesn't multiply, it doesn't prod= uce anything. It's got a magic to it and people have attached magic to lots= of things."

Charlie Munger chimes in: "In my l= ife, I try and avoid things that are stupid, and evil, and make me look bad= in comparison to somebody else - and Bitcoin does all three. In the first = place, it's stupid because it's very likely to go to zero. In the second pl= ace, it's evil because it undermines the Federal Reserve system that we des= perately need to maintain its integrity and government control... and third= , it makes us look foolish compared to the Communist leader in China. He wa= s smart enough to ban bitcoin in China, and with all of our presumed advant= ages in civilization, we are a lot dumber than the Communist leader in Chin= a." (395 comments)
     
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Trending
Ov= erturned?
In a rare breach of tradition and secrecy, the U.S. Supreme Court voted to = strike down the landmark Roe v. Wade decision, according to a leaked initia= l draft majority opinion that was later confirmed. Once a public ruling is released, federal protection of aborti= on rights would come to an end, allowing each state to decide on the legali= ty of abortion and procedures (at least 22 states already have laws on the = books in the event the case is overturned). The high court is expected to announce its final decision with= in the next two months, though deliberations on controversial cases have be= en fluid in the past and multiple drafts or vote-trading could occur before= then.

Some history: Roe v. Wade effectively leg= alized abortion across the United States in 1973 by striking down a Texas l= aw that only permitted abortion for the purpose of saving a woman's life. T= he majority opinion at the time declared that a woman's right to privacy un= der the 14th Amendment superseded a state's right to ban abortion and the c= ourt set different rules for each trimester. In the years since, Roe has be= en modified but not overturned, like in the 1992 case of Planned Parenthood= v. Casey. In that decision, the court said that restrictions are "unconsti= tutional" if they place an "undue burden" on a woman, and quickly became th= e new standard by which new abortion cases were judged.

"Roe was= egregiously wrong from the start. Its reasoning was exceptionally weak, an= d the decision has had damaging consequences. And far from bringing about a= national settlement of the abortion issue, Roe and Casey have enflamed deb= ate and deepened division," Justice Samuel Alito wrote in the initial draft majority opinion. "Roe expressed the = 'feel[ing]' that the Fourteenth Amendment was the provision that did the wo= rk, but its message seemed to be that the abortion right could be found som= ewhere in the Constitution and that specifying its exact location was not o= f paramount importance. The Constitution makes no reference to abortion, an= d no such right is implicitly protected by any constitutional provision."

Is Corporate America getting inv= olved? You bet, and it has th= e potential to make bigger waves than the "Don't Say Gay" tussle between Disney (DIS) and Florida's legislature. In 2019, Netflix (NFLX) threatened to pull projects fro= m film and TV hub Georgia over its court-challenged law that would ban abor= tions as early as six weeks into pregnancy, while Amazon (AMZN) just promised to reimburse employees with $4,000 if they have to travel= for procedures like abortions. Other companies also put up money after Tex= as's Heartbeat Act went into effect last year, with Match Group (MTCH), Yelp (YELP) and Apple (AAPL) promising to help pay for out-of-state abortions, and Lyft (LYFT) and U= ber (UBER) pledging legal = defense funds for drivers sued under the new law. (601 comments)
     
Energy
Oil import= ban
The European Commission, the executive arm of the EU, unveiled new sanction= s on Russian energy, including a phase= -out of crude oil imports within six months and refined products by the end= of the year. Brent oil futures (CO1:COM<= span class=3D"paywall-full-content">) climbed as much as 5% after the news on Wednesday, while WTI crude futures (CL1:COM) <= span class=3D"green paywall-full-content">advanced 4% to over $108/bbl. The EU also proposed that Sberbank= , Russia's largest financial institution, and two other major banks be disc= onnected from the SWIFT international payment system, while "three big Russ= ian state-owned broadcasters will be barred from EU airwaves."
=
Quote: "Let us be clear: it will not be easy," European Comm= ission President Ursula von der Leyen said during a speech at the European = Parliament. "Thus we maximize the pressure on Russia, while at the same tim= e - and this is important - we minimize the collateral damage to us and our= partners around the globe... because to help Ukraine we have to make sure = that our economy remains strong."

The sanctions are aimed at den= ting one of Russia's most important sources of foreign earnings, but lucrat= ive gas sales will stay intact for now. Moscow could also find other buyers= looking to take advantage of the substantial discounts on its crude, like = India and Turkey. "It might be just a game of musical chairs," declared Vik= tor Katona, an oil analyst at Kpler, while Rystad Energy even sees the Krem= lin's total oil revenue rising 45% to $180B in 2022 as a rise in fuel price= s counters any decline in production.

Exemptions: Von der Leyen didn't disclose any exclusions during her speech, but EU o= fficials have privately confirmed that the commission's proposal includes f= lexibility for Slovakia and Hungary, which are both highly dependent on Rus= sian energy. Additional time will be given to the two countries to phase ou= t crude imports, likely until the end of 2023. While around 25% of Europe's= oil is imported from Russia, there are big differences in the level of rel= iance among member nations (usually those closer to the Russian border are = more dependent on its energy network). (65 comments)
     
On The Move
Buckle = up!
Market optimism continues to evaporate as headline after headline continues= to roil investing sentiment. While there have been some relief rallies in = recent sessions, or what some dub capitulation trades or a dead cat bounce,= those have done little to affect the = overall equity trade which has turned sour since the start of 2022. In its = biggest one-day loss in two years, the benchmark S&P 500 Index <= span class=3D"red paywall-full-content">plunged 3.6% on Thursday, the Dow lost 1,063 points and the tech-heavy Nasdaq closed the session down 5%. <= br />
Dose of b= ad news: First it was inflation and high oil prices, followed by the w= ar in Ukraine. Then it was COVID lockdowns in China that triggered more fea= rs about the supply chain. Lackluster guidance from earnings season didn't = help the situation, while Powell's comments of "additional= 50 basis point increases at the next couple of meetings" are still reverbe= rating through the investing community. Thursday's sharp selloff saw the CB= OE Volatility Index, a fear gauge known as the VIX, advance nearly 8 points= to as high as 33.15, far above its long-term median of 17.63.

M= arkets were temporarily supported by comments from Jerome Powell revealed t= hat the central bank wasn't considering even bigger increases like 75 bps h= ikes (a move it hasn't done since '94), but "clearly, investors had second = thoughts about the so-called 'dovish h= ike' from the Fed," said Rob Carnell, economist at ING. There is an increas= ed probability of "rate hikes coming thick and fast, but little if any pros= pect of a turn in inflation any time soon." The flight to safety also did n= ot materialize this time around (except for the dollar perhaps), with every= thing from gold to U.S. Treasuries joining the selloff on Wall Street.

Dimming the outlook: Powell is attempting to engineer a soft lan= ding - in which interest rates are raised just enough that it doesn't cause= a recession - but those risks are piling up. On Thursday, the Bank of Engl= and raised= rates to the highest level since the = financial crisis and warned that the economy will slide into recession, ess= entially admitting that a downturn would be needed to bring down price pres= sures. Other Western nations, like the U.S., are also set to continue their= policy tightening cycles over the course of 2022, making it exceptionally = hard to achieve both growth and low inflation and spelling further pain for= the economy. (20 comments)
     
Outlook
'Work from anywhere'
Many tech firms and other companies embraced remote work during the pandemi= c, only to wean off the model in favor of a hybrid approach or a return to = the office once the initial waves of COVID-19 subsided. Not Airbnb (NASDAQ:= ABNB). The home rental provider t= hat changed the way people travel announced a policy this week that will al= low its employees to live and work from anywhere, calling it the "predomina= nt way companies will work in 10 years from now." The plan:

1. Y= ou can work from home or the office - whatever works best for you.
2. You can move anywhere in the country, like from San Francisco to Nash= ville, and your compensation won't change.

3. You have the flexi= bility to live and work in 170 countries for up to 90 days a year in each l= ocation.

4. We'll meet up regularly for team gatherings. Most em= ployees will connect in person every quarter for about a week at a time (so= me more frequently).

5. To pull this off, we'll operate off of a= multi-year roadmap with two major product releases a year, which will keep= us working in a highly coordinated way.

Quote: "We had= the most productive two-year period in our company's history - all while w= orking remotely," explained CEO Brian Chesky. "Two decades ago, Silicon Val= ley startups popularized open floor plans and on-site perks. Today's startu= ps have embraced flexibility and remote work." Companies will also be at a = "significant disadvantage if they limit their talent pool to a commuting ra= dius around their offices. The best people live everywhere."

Human connection? "The most meaningful connections happen in = person. Zoom is great for maintaining relationships, but it's not the best = way to deepen them. And some creative work is best done in the same room. T= he right solution should combine the efficiency of Zoom with the meaningful= human connection that happens when people come together. Our design attemp= ts to combine the best of both worlds." (6 comments)
     
U.S. Indices
Dow -0.2% to 32,899. S&P 500 -0.2% to 4,123. Nasdaq -1.5% to 12,145. Russell = 2000 -1.3% to 1,839. C= BOE Volatility Index -9.6% to 30.19.

S&P 500 Sectors
Consum= er Staples -1.5%. Util= ities -4.%. Financials= -2.2%. Telecom -1.2%. Healthcare -0.4%. Industrials +0.2%. Information Technology <= span class=3D"green" style=3D"color: #008000;">+1.7%. Materials -0.3%. Energy +8.6%. Consumer Discretionary <= span class=3D"green" style=3D"color: #008000;">+4.%.

World Indices
London -2.1% to 7,388. France -4.2% to 6,258. Germany -3.% to 13,674. Japan +0.6% to 27,004. China -1.5% to 3,002. Hong Kong -5.2% to 20,002. India -3.9% to 54,836.

Commoditi= es and Bonds
Crude Oil WTI +5.7% to $110.61/bbl. Gold -1.5% to $1,882.8/oz. Natural Gas +10.2% to 7.981. Ten-Year Treas= ury Yield +7.% to 3.= 14.

Forex and Cryptos
EUR/USD +0.07%. USD/JPY +0.57%. GBP/USD -1.79%. Bitcoin -6.8%. Litecoin -4.5%. Ethereum -4.5%. XRP -2= .2%.

Top S&P 500 Gainers
EPAM = Systems, (EPAM) +31%. Albemarle (ALB) +26%. Devon Energy (DVN) +20= %. Occidental Petroleum (OXY) +18%= . Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) +16%.

Top S&P 500 Losers
Unde= r Armour (UA) -31%. Expedia Group (EXPE) -24%. DISH Network (DISH) -22%. Illumina (ILMN) -16%. Rockwell Automation (ROK) -15%.

Where will the markets= be headed next week? Current trends and ideas? Add your thoughts to the co= mments section.
Seeking Alpha=E2=80=99s Wall Street Breakfast Podcast
Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Breakfast podcast brings you all the news you n= eed to know for your market day. Released by 8:00 AM ET each morning, it is= a quick listen that you can put on as you get ready to start your working = day.
 
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