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Subject: =?utf-8?Q?Thelma=20and=20Louise=20=2D=20A=20Modern=20Economic=20Parable?=
From: =?utf-8?Q?Peter=20T.=20Erdelyi=20&=20Associates=2C=20Inc.?= <contact@erdelyi.com>
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To: =?utf-8?Q?Danny=20D?= <danny@sterlingcal.com>
Date: Thu, 28 Sep 2023 23:23:49 +0000
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You may recall the iconic 1991 film=2C "Thelma and Louise=2C" featuring th=
e adventurous journey of two friends.


** Thelma and Louise - A Modern Economic Parable

Hello my friends=2C
------------------------------------------------------------

You may recall the iconic 1991 film=2C "Thelma and Louise=2C" featuring th=
e adventurous journey of two friends. It's often said that humor lies in d=
rawing humorous similarities between unrelated things. For instance:

- "I'm as organized as a tornado in a library."
- "My computer is as slow as a snail running a marathon."
- "Her cooking is so bad=2C it's like a crime scene in the kitchen."
- "His snoring is like a chainsaw in a forest."
- "Trying to wake me up in the morning is like negotiating with a hibernat=
ing bear."

The art of creating jokes has always eluded me; I'm more inclined to remem=
ber them than invent them. Hungarian humor=2C in particular=2C can be tric=
ky to translate into English=2C as I've learned from experience. Many time=
s it happened that I heard a really good Hungarian joke and when I tried t=
o translate it into English=2C it didn't make any sense=2C it turned into=
 a disaster.

Nonetheless=2C here's my attempt at a joke=2C or rather=2C a whimsical obs=
ervation:

"They say the economy is doing splendidly or is on a very good track these=
 days - as we hear in the mainstream media - much like Susan Sarandon and=
 Gina Davis in Thelma and Louise were approaching the cliffs of the Grand=
 Canyon in their 1966 Ford Thunderbird"

Jokes aside=2C let's engage in some fact-checking:

- Is it because we're shelling out over $6.00 for gas?
- Or maybe it's because grocery bills are reaching new heights?
- Could it be due to the average interest rate on a 30-year mortgage hitti=
ng 7.75%=2C the highest since November 2000?
- Perhaps it's the soaring rent and house prices?
- Some argue that inflation rates are reminiscent of the late '70s misery=
 index during Ronald Reagan's campaign.
- And mortgage rates have surged by a staggering 5 points in just over thr=
ee years. (I'm not going to make a political point asking who was the pres=
ident just three short years ago. I'm not)

I won't delve into the details=2C but why does the rhetoric persist that t=
he economy is flourishing? I can't help but wonder what it would take for=
 the economy to be considered "on a bad track."

Consider this scenario:

Recently the Mayor of Chicago has announced the establishment of city-run=
 grocery stores to replace those fleeing the city due to inefficient gover=
nance=2C social disorder=2C and rampant=2C industrial scale  shoplifting.=
 Growing up in Hungary under a socialist/communist system=2C I've seen whe=
re this leads: food shortages. We had constant food shortages. Such a poli=
ce state approach may land shoplifters in jail=2C lock the doors and throw=
 away the keys=2C leaving us with more questions than answers. This trend=
 might spread to other once-great American cities=2C and it's unclear when=
 voters will push back. At some point the voters will rebel=2C but I don't=
 know that I will be living long enough to see that.

Here's another concerning development:

Zillow=2C aiming to be a one-stop shop for homebuyers=2C now offers the op=
tion of a 1% down payment amid soaring interest rates. However=2C this doe=
sn't address the housing affordability crisis; smaller down payments mean=
 larger monthly mortgage bills as borrowers accumulate more debt. With mor=
e debts - now at 99% of the purchase price=2C and not the traditional 80%=
 or so - and with these very high interest rates=2C do you see the problem=
s reminiscent of the 2008 subprime mortgage lending debacle to repeat? I d=
o. Some people just don't learn from history and head straight into a suic=
idal pathway. Thelma and Louise?

Now=2C let's talk about the housing affordability crisis. The increasing n=
umber of people living on the streets can partly be attributed to a shorta=
ge of housing units on the market. It's become fashionable to say that the=
se individuals aren't homeless but "unhoused."  Sure we need more housing.=
 Everybody who follows my periodical writings knows that I've been an advo=
cate for simple=2C affordable solutions like ADUs (Accessory Dwelling Unit=
s)=2C which can increase supply and lower rent prices=E2=80=94a basic prin=
ciple of capitalism=2C Economics 101=2C supply and demand.

However=2C there's another facet to consider. Many believe that the reduct=
ion in federal funding for mental health services during Ronald Reagan's a=
dministration contributed to the homelessness issue. This lack of mental h=
ealth support leaves these individuals with few options. I believe that is=
 true and if these people are mentally ill=2C then there are very few plac=
es for them to go for help=2C society lacks enough mental institutions.

After examining both sides of the coin=2C it's worth considering the "thir=
d side" - the less obvious perspective. There was back in Hungary a very p=
opular TV show titled "The third side of the coin".  Truth is that there i=
s often another perspective or aspect to consider beyond what is immediate=
ly apparent.

I dare to make a controversial argument: "I believe the homeless guy's pro=
blem is not that he doesn't have a home".

While it defines the problem=2C it's not the root cause. This is a point o=
ften overlooked in the name of compassion.  Pretending that providing four=
 walls will solve all their problems may not be the compassionate approach=
=2E Yes=2C housing is expensive=2C and there are mentally ill individuals in=
 need of help. But why didn't we see as many people on the streets in the=
 early '70s when I arrived in this country?

The answer is simple: the proliferation of cheap drugs=2C the legalization=
 of certain drugs=2C and the influx of inexpensive drugs across our southe=
rn border have significantly altered our society and the way of our life.=
 I believe that almost anyone willing to work hard and avoid drugs=2C alco=
hol=2C and any other mind-altering substances can avoid homelessness.

Discussing the problems is easy=2C but finding solutions is complex. The c=
urrent economic conditions have dimmed the light at the end of the tunnel.=
 Or have they? I believe we need new innovative people=2C minds from all w=
alks of life=2C capable and willing of creating win-win solutions.

With my limited knowledge and experience=2C my imagination for a win-win s=
olution is to encourage the government to support the creation of more ADU=
s through tax incentives and low-interest loans for affordable housing. As=
 for the drug problem=2C to close our southern borders for illegal border=
 crossings because border control is essential to stem the influx of cheap=
 drugs. These measures could benefit the economy=2C clear our streets of d=
rug-addicted homeless people and perhaps prevent Thelma and Louise from pl=
unging over the South Rim of the Grand Canyon too!

Your friend=2C
Peter


** Happy to help.
------------------------------------------------------------

We are one if not the leading ADU design company in Los Angeles doing ever=
ything from A to Z=2C  the architectural design=2C structural engineering=
=2C surveying=2C expediting the plans to the municipalities and securing a=
 building permit under one roof=2C therefore minimizing the design costs.=
 My design experience of over 5 decades helped to create dozens=2C actuall=
y over 100 new ADU designs in our office in the past 5 years.

Please don=E2=80=99t hesitate to call us with any of your ADU or building=
 design questions at
310-553-9339


** Peter T. Erdelyi & Associates=2C INC.
------------------------------------------------------------

2999 Overland Ave. Ste 103.
Los Angeles=2C CA
90064
(310) 553-9339

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                        <td valign=3D"top" class=3D"mcnTextContent" style=
=3D"padding-top: 0;padding-right: 18px;padding-bottom: 9px;padding-left: 1=
8px;mso-line-height-rule: exactly;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;-webkit-text-=
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tica;font-size: 16px;line-height: 150%;text-align: left;">

                            <h2 style=3D"display: block;margin: 0;padding:=
 0;color: #222222;font-family: Helvetica;font-size: 28px;font-style: norma=
l;font-weight: bold;line-height: 150%;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: l=
eft;">Thelma and Louise - A Modern Economic Parable<br>
<br>
<span style=3D"color:#000000">Hello my friends=2C</span></h2>

<p style=3D"font-size: 18px !important;margin: 10px 0;padding: 0;mso-line-=
height-rule: exactly;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;-webkit-text-size-adjust:=
 100%;color: #757575;font-family: Helvetica;line-height: 150%;text-align:=
 left;"><span style=3D"color:#000000">You may recall the iconic 1991 film=
=2C "Thelma and Louise=2C" featuring the adventurous journey of two friend=
s. It's often said that humor lies in drawing humorous similarities betwee=
n unrelated things. For instance:<br>
<br>
- "I'm as organized as a tornado in a library."<br>
- "My computer is as slow as a snail running a marathon."<br>
- "Her cooking is so bad=2C it's like a crime scene in the kitchen."<br>
- "His snoring is like a chainsaw in a forest."<br>
- "Trying to wake me up in the morning is like negotiating with a hibernat=
ing bear."<br>
<br>
The art of creating jokes has always eluded me; I'm more inclined to remem=
ber them than invent them. Hungarian humor=2C in particular=2C can be tric=
ky to translate into English=2C as I've learned from experience. Many time=
s it happened that I heard a really good Hungarian joke and when I tried t=
o translate it into English=2C it didn't make any sense=2C it turned into=
 a disaster.<br>
<br>
Nonetheless=2C here's my attempt at a joke=2C or rather=2C a whimsical obs=
ervation:<br>
<br>
<strong>"They say the economy is doing splendidly or is on a very good tra=
ck these days - as we hear in the mainstream media - much like Susan Saran=
don and Gina Davis in Thelma and Louise were approaching the cliffs of the=
 Grand Canyon in their 1966 Ford Thunderbird"</strong><br>
<br>
Jokes aside=2C let's engage in some fact-checking:<br>
<br>
- Is it because we're shelling out over $6.00 for gas?<br>
- Or maybe it's because grocery bills are reaching new heights?<br>
- Could it be due to the average interest rate on a 30-year mortgage hitti=
ng 7.75%=2C the highest since November 2000?<br>
- Perhaps it's the soaring rent and house prices?<br>
- Some argue that inflation rates are reminiscent of the late '70s misery=
 index during Ronald Reagan's campaign.<br>
- And mortgage rates have surged by a staggering 5 points in just over thr=
ee years. (I'm not going to make a political point asking who was the pres=
ident just three short years ago. I'm not)<br>
<br>
I won't delve into the details=2C but why does the rhetoric persist that t=
he economy is flourishing? I can't help but wonder what it would take for=
 the economy to be considered "on a bad track."<br>
<br>
Consider this scenario:<br>
<br>
Recently the Mayor of Chicago has announced the establishment of city-run=
 grocery stores to replace those fleeing the city due to inefficient gover=
nance=2C social disorder=2C and rampant=2C industrial scale &nbsp;shoplift=
ing. Growing up in Hungary under a socialist/communist system=2C I've seen=
 where this leads: food shortages. We had constant food shortages. Such a=
 police state approach may land shoplifters in jail=2C lock the doors and=
 throw away the keys=2C leaving us with more questions than answers. This=
 trend might spread to other once-great American cities=2C and it's unclea=
r when voters will push back. At some point the voters will rebel=2C but I=
 don't know that I will be living long enough to see that.<br>
<br>
Here's another concerning development:<br>
<br>
Zillow=2C aiming to be a one-stop shop for homebuyers=2C now offers the op=
tion of a 1% down payment amid soaring interest rates. However=2C this doe=
sn't address the housing affordability crisis; smaller down payments mean=
 larger monthly mortgage bills as borrowers accumulate more debt. With mor=
e debts - now at 99% of the purchase price=2C and not the traditional 80%=
 or so - and with these very high interest rates=2C do you see the problem=
s reminiscent of the 2008 subprime mortgage lending debacle to repeat? I d=
o. Some people just don't learn from history and head straight into a suic=
idal pathway. Thelma and Louise?<br>
<br>
Now=2C let's talk about the housing affordability crisis. The increasing n=
umber of people living on the streets can partly be attributed to a shorta=
ge of housing units on the market. It's become fashionable to say that the=
se individuals aren't homeless but "unhoused." &nbsp;Sure we need more hou=
sing. Everybody who follows my periodical writings knows that I've been an=
 advocate for simple=2C affordable solutions like ADUs (Accessory Dwelling=
 Units)=2C which can increase supply and lower rent prices=E2=80=94a basic=
 principle of capitalism=2C Economics 101=2C supply and demand.<br>
<br>
However=2C there's another facet to consider. Many believe that the reduct=
ion in federal funding for mental health services during Ronald Reagan's a=
dministration contributed to the homelessness issue. This lack of mental h=
ealth support leaves these individuals with few options. I believe that is=
 true and if these people are mentally ill=2C then there are very few plac=
es for them to go for help=2C society lacks enough mental institutions.<br=
>
<br>
After examining both sides of the coin=2C it's worth considering the "thir=
d side" - the less obvious perspective. There was back in Hungary a very p=
opular TV show titled "The third side of the coin". &nbsp;Truth is that th=
ere is often another perspective or aspect to consider beyond what is imme=
diately apparent.<br>
<br>
I dare to make a controversial argument: <strong>"I believe the homeless g=
uy's problem is not that he doesn't have a home".&nbsp;</strong><br>
<br>
While it defines the problem=2C it's not the root cause. This is a point o=
ften overlooked in the name of compassion. &nbsp;Pretending that providing=
 four walls will solve all their problems may not be the compassionate app=
roach. Yes=2C housing is expensive=2C and there are mentally ill individua=
ls in need of help. But why didn't we see as many people on the streets in=
 the early '70s when I arrived in this country?<br>
<br>
The answer is simple: the proliferation of cheap drugs=2C the legalization=
 of certain drugs=2C and the influx of inexpensive drugs across our southe=
rn border have significantly altered our society and the way of our life.=
 I believe that almost anyone willing to work hard and avoid drugs=2C alco=
hol=2C and any other mind-altering substances can avoid homelessness.<br>
<br>
Discussing the problems is easy=2C but finding solutions is complex. The c=
urrent economic conditions have dimmed the light at the end of the tunnel.=
 Or have they? I believe we need new innovative people=2C minds from all w=
alks of life=2C capable and willing of creating win-win solutions.<br>
<br>
With my limited knowledge and experience=2C my imagination for a win-win s=
olution is to encourage the government to support the creation of more ADU=
s through tax incentives and low-interest loans for affordable housing. As=
 for the drug problem=2C to close our southern borders for illegal border=
 crossings because border control is essential to stem the influx of cheap=
 drugs. These measures could benefit the economy=2C clear our streets of d=
rug-addicted homeless people and perhaps prevent Thelma and Louise from pl=
unging over the South Rim of the Grand Canyon too!<br>
<br>
Your friend=2C<br>
Peter</span></p>

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0%;word-break: break-word;font-family: Helvetica;font-size: 16px;line-heig=
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                                        <h3 style=3D"text-align: center;di=
splay: block;margin: 0;padding: 0;color: #444444;font-family: Helvetica;fo=
nt-size: 22px;font-style: normal;font-weight: bold;line-height: 150%;lette=
r-spacing: normal;"><span style=3D"font-family:roboto=2Chelvetica neue=2Ch=
elvetica=2Carial=2Csans-serif">Happy to help.</span></h3>

<p style=3D"text-align: center !important;margin: 10px 0;padding: 0;mso-li=
ne-height-rule: exactly;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;-webkit-text-size-adjus=
t: 100%;color: #757575;font-family: Helvetica;font-size: 16px;line-height:=
 150%;">We are one if not the leading ADU design company in Los Angeles do=
ing everything from A to Z=2C&nbsp; the architectural design=2C structural=
 engineering=2C surveying=2C expediting the plans to the municipalities an=
d securing a building permit under one roof=2C therefore minimizing the de=
sign costs. My design experience of over 5 decades helped to create dozens=
=2C actually over 100 new ADU designs in our office in the past 5 years.<b=
r>
<br>
Please don=E2=80=99t hesitate to call us with any of your ADU or building=
 design questions at<br>
310-553-9339</p>

                                    </td>
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=09=09=09=09<!--[if gte mso 9]>
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=09=09=09=09<!--[if gte mso 9]>
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</table><table border=3D"0" cellpadding=3D"0" cellspacing=3D"0" width=3D"1=
00%" class=3D"mcnBoxedTextBlock" style=3D"min-width: 100%;border-collapse:=
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: 100%;-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;">
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=09<table align=3D"center" border=3D"0" cellspacing=3D"0" cellpadding=3D"0=
" width=3D"100%">
=09<![endif]-->
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            <td valign=3D"top" class=3D"mcnBoxedTextBlockInner" style=3D"m=
so-line-height-rule: exactly;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;-webkit-text-size-=
adjust: 100%;">

=09=09=09=09<!--[if gte mso 9]>
=09=09=09=09<td align=3D"center" valign=3D"top" ">
=09=09=09=09<![endif]-->
                <table align=3D"left" border=3D"0" cellpadding=3D"0" cells=
pacing=3D"0" width=3D"100%" style=3D"min-width: 100%;border-collapse: coll=
apse;mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100=
%;-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;" class=3D"mcnBoxedTextContentContainer">
                    <tbody><tr>

                        <td style=3D"padding-top: 9px;padding-left: 18px;p=
adding-bottom: 9px;padding-right: 18px;mso-line-height-rule: exactly;-ms-t=
ext-size-adjust: 100%;-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;">

                            <table border=3D"0" cellspacing=3D"0" class=3D=
"mcnTextContentContainer" width=3D"100%" style=3D"min-width: 100% !importa=
nt;background-color: #F7F7F7;border-collapse: collapse;mso-table-lspace: 0=
pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;-webkit-text-size-adju=
st: 100%;">
                                <tbody><tr>
                                    <td valign=3D"top" class=3D"mcnTextCon=
tent" style=3D"padding: 18px;color: #707070;text-align: center;mso-line-he=
ight-rule: exactly;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;-webkit-text-size-adjust: 10=
0%;word-break: break-word;font-family: Helvetica;font-size: 16px;line-heig=
ht: 150%;">
                                        <h3 style=3D"text-align: center;di=
splay: block;margin: 0;padding: 0;color: #444444;font-family: Helvetica;fo=
nt-size: 22px;font-style: normal;font-weight: bold;line-height: 150%;lette=
r-spacing: normal;"><span style=3D"font-family:roboto=2Chelvetica neue=2Ch=
elvetica=2Carial=2Csans-serif">Peter T. Erdelyi &amp; Associates=2C INC.</=
span></h3>

<p style=3D"text-align: center;margin: 10px 0;padding: 0;mso-line-height-r=
ule: exactly;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;col=
or: #757575;font-family: Helvetica;font-size: 16px;line-height: 150%;"><sp=
an style=3D"font-family:roboto=2Chelvetica neue=2Chelvetica=2Carial=2Csans=
-serif">2999 Overland Ave. Ste 103.<br>
Los Angeles=2C CA<br>
90064<br>
<strong>(310) 553-9339</strong></span></p>

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                            </tbody></table>
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                </tbody></table>
=09=09=09=09<!--[if gte mso 9]>
=09=09=09=09</td>
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